Comments for Snafu::Blog http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu Living in Interesting Times Sat, 19 May 2012 08:08:07 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 Comment on Drumbeats of War - A Quiet Weekend by Snafu http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/05/drumbeats-of-war-a-quiet-weekend/#comment-515 Snafu Tue, 15 May 2012 19:06:42 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1807#comment-515 I appreciate your comments. That is definitely a viable viewpoint. We should be able to get a better read on these things next week after the IAEA and P5 meetings. Yes, I believe the crucial question is where the actual red line is for the Israelis, specifically PM Netanyahu. As always, perceptions... and agendas... trump realities. I appreciate your comments. That is definitely a viable viewpoint. We should be able to get a better read on these things next week after the IAEA and P5 meetings.

Yes, I believe the crucial question is where the actual red line is for the Israelis, specifically PM Netanyahu.

As always, perceptions… and agendas… trump realities.

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - A Quiet Weekend by Mike Shahbaz http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/05/drumbeats-of-war-a-quiet-weekend/#comment-514 Mike Shahbaz Sun, 13 May 2012 17:14:44 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1807#comment-514 Thank you for your blog. May I disagree with some of your interpretation of Sec. Ashton's statement: The Iranians will be happy to comply with getting rid of a non existent program. Nuclear bomb design activities, they claim and the western intelligence Agencies 'broadly speaking' accept, have been put on hold since ~ 2003. She did not say stop enrichment or anything covered under the NPT.!! Is that not what your friends (always with Mossad connections) in Israel are most worried about? Thank you for your blog. May I disagree with some of your interpretation of Sec. Ashton’s statement:

The Iranians will be happy to comply with getting rid of a non existent program. Nuclear bomb design activities, they claim and the western intelligence Agencies ‘broadly speaking’ accept, have been put on hold since ~ 2003. She did not say stop enrichment or anything covered under the NPT.!!
Is that not what your friends (always with Mossad connections) in Israel are most worried about?

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - Russia and U.S. Face Off by Agencja reklamowa w Bydgoszczy http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2011/11/drumbeats-of-war-russia-and-us-face-off/#comment-513 Agencja reklamowa w Bydgoszczy Sun, 13 May 2012 07:38:21 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1385#comment-513 Spot on with this write-up, I really believe this web site needs a great deal more attention. I'll probably be back again to read more, thanks for the info! Spot on with this write-up, I really believe this web site needs a great deal more attention.

I’ll probably be back again to read more, thanks for the info!

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - No Elections in Israel by Snafu http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/05/drumbeats-of-war-no-elections-in-israel/#comment-512 Snafu Thu, 10 May 2012 06:07:24 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1798#comment-512 If Iran is to be believed, only an event that they would consider an act of war would push them into a pre-preemptive strike (and then is it actually preemptive?). But that event could be anything... from continued support for anti-Assad forces, or an actual military incursion into Syria... to oil prices suddenly dropping (as they are doing) causing sanctions to really bite into their economy. But my take is that they would have to be really pushed to the wall before they would make a preemptive strike. They have not talked much about that lately. Re: North Korea, I think what you mention is significant because of the tie with the Iranian nuclear/ICBM programs, but that it is not a decisive factor. At this point Iran does not need NK in order to develop either a weapon or a delivery system by themselves. The NK data has probably been helpful to Iran, but now is not crucial. Something interesting to consider is whether the next Middle East war could be started in Korea. If Iran is to be believed, only an event that they would consider an act of war would push them into a pre-preemptive strike (and then is it actually preemptive?).

But that event could be anything… from continued support for anti-Assad forces, or an actual military incursion into Syria… to oil prices suddenly dropping (as they are doing) causing sanctions to really bite into their economy.

But my take is that they would have to be really pushed to the wall before they would make a preemptive strike. They have not talked much about that lately.

Re: North Korea, I think what you mention is significant because of the tie with the Iranian nuclear/ICBM programs, but that it is not a decisive factor. At this point Iran does not need NK in order to develop either a weapon or a delivery system by themselves. The NK data has probably been helpful to Iran, but now is not crucial.

Something interesting to consider is whether the next Middle East war could be started in Korea.

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - No Elections in Israel by Patrick http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/05/drumbeats-of-war-no-elections-in-israel/#comment-509 Patrick Tue, 08 May 2012 04:34:28 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1798#comment-509 what would trigger Iran to actually pre-empt the pre-emptive strike from Israel? would the North Korea Nuclear Test have any impact on the decision for a strike from either Iran or Israel? what would trigger Iran to actually pre-empt the pre-emptive strike from Israel?
would the North Korea Nuclear Test have any impact on the decision for a strike from either Iran or Israel?

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - Obama’s ‘Credible Threat by Snafu http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/04/drumbeats-of-war-obamas-credible-threat/#comment-508 Snafu Thu, 03 May 2012 23:26:57 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1788#comment-508 I have no idea, my friend. It is one of several 64 dollar questions up in the air. I suppose we'll have to wait a while until something starts showing. I have no idea, my friend. It is one of several 64 dollar questions up in the air. I suppose we’ll have to wait a while until something starts showing.

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - Obama’s ‘Credible Threat by Patrick http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/04/drumbeats-of-war-obamas-credible-threat/#comment-506 Patrick Mon, 30 Apr 2012 01:58:46 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1788#comment-506 what's planned next for Syria? what’s planned next for Syria?

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - Syria-Turkey Adana Agreement by wow fang http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/04/drumbeats-of-war-syria-turkey-adana-agreement/#comment-504 wow fang Wed, 25 Apr 2012 21:44:14 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1756#comment-504 Did the president just leave a mesage! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Did the president just leave a mesage! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - The Iran Nuclear Deal by Patrick http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/04/drumbeats-of-war-the-iran-nuclear-deal/#comment-500 Patrick Mon, 23 Apr 2012 09:40:03 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1780#comment-500 how far will Turkey go to invoke Article 4 of the NATO agreement to bring military intervention into Syria? how far will Turkey go to invoke Article 4 of the NATO agreement to bring military intervention into Syria?

]]> Comment on Drumbeats of War - Observers to Syria by sanicklaus http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/2012/04/drumbeats-of-war-observers-to-syria/#comment-492 sanicklaus Sat, 14 Apr 2012 14:40:08 +0000 http://disasteremergencysupplies.com/snafu/?p=1768#comment-492 The Arab Ligue has had observers in Syria already. And they have been misused. For peace in Syria are necessary serious discussions between oposition and governement, without extern influences. But this is very difficult because Al-Quaida, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran, Russia, Israel, USA etc. have other targets. The Arab Ligue has had observers in Syria already. And they have been misused. For peace in Syria are necessary serious discussions between oposition and governement, without extern influences. But this is very difficult because Al-Quaida, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran, Russia, Israel, USA etc. have other targets.

]]>